These nations played out a five-goal thriller back in September, and more goals could flow in Warsaw, as the home side are particularly shaky at the back. However, Scotland often fail to make the most of their chances and could ultimately be punished by their Polish counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Poland	Draw	Scotland
52.99% ( 1.4)	22.53% ( -0.34)	24.48% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 59.44% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61% (

0.59)

40.38% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.24% (

0.61)

62.76% (

-0.61)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

0.69)

15.29% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.99% (

1.29)

44.01% (

-1.29)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

-0.51)

29.82% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1% (

-0.62)

65.9% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Poland 52.99%

Scotland 24.48%

Draw 22.52%

Poland	Draw	Scotland
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.99%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.11% Total : 24.48%