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Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Nikola Shterev-Starika Complex
RO

Bulgaria
vs.
Rep. Ireland

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-1 Belarus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: England 5-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

We say: Bulgaria 1-1 Republic of Ireland

Bulgaria will hope to make the most of their home advantage, but they have struggled for goals in recent matches. Though Ireland's form has been poor for some time, they will take confidence from their hosts' subpar record at Stadion Hristo Botev. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bulgaria win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw has a probability of 29% and a win for Republic of Ireland has a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it is 0-1 (10.68%).

Result
BulgariaDrawRepublic of Ireland
43.38% (-0.57700000000001 -0.58) 29.03% (0.058 0.06) 27.59% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 42.62% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)63.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)82.85% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)29.15% (0.295 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (-0.368 -0.37)65.09% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (0.461 0.46)39.84% (-0.462 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.49% (0.422 0.42)76.5% (-0.423 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 43.37%
    Republic of Ireland 27.58%
    Draw 29.02%
BulgariaDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 14.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 43.37%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 27.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-1 Belarus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 5-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Bulgaria
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 5-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 England
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League


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