SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
44.29% ( -0.2) | 25.02% ( 0.14) | 30.69% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( -0.57) | 47.21% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( -0.54) | 69.44% ( 0.54) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.33) | 21.34% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0.52) | 54.3% ( 0.52) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.24) | 28.81% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.3) | 64.67% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.7% |
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