SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
52.27% ( -0.22) | 24.12% ( 0.12) | 23.6% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.37) | 48.32% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.34) | 70.46% ( 0.34) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.22) | 18.46% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.36% ( -0.38) | 49.64% ( 0.38) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.11) | 34.89% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.37% ( -0.11) | 71.63% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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