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National League | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank
OA
Dorking
1 - 5
Oldham
McShane (9')
McManus (55')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Fondop (19', 36', 57'), Clarke (45+2'), Chapman (64')
Chapman (33')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 4-0 Dorking
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-2 Notts County
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawOldham Athletic
34.86% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 23.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 42.04% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)36.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)21.33% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.29% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (0.025000000000006 0.03)48.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 34.86%
    Oldham Athletic 42.04%
    Draw 23.1%
Dorking WanderersDrawOldham Athletic
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.86%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 42.04%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Eastleigh 4-0 Dorking
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Eastleigh
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 3-2 Maidstone
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Dorking
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-2 Notts County
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 Oldham
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 3-2 Torquay Utd
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 0-0 Oldham
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet7511148616
2Chesterfield75111914516
3Solihull MoorsSolihull7430147715
4Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool75021712515
5Ebbsfleet74031410412
6Halifax TownHalifax733175212
7Woking7322108211
8Rochdale7313108210
9AltrinchamAltrincham72411312110
10Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead724165110
11Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red731399010
12Gateshead7232141229
13Bromley723279-29
14WealdstoneWealdstone7223811-38
15Eastleigh714278-17
16Aldershot TownAldershot72141318-57
17Oxford CityOxford City71331112-16
18Oldham AthleticOldham7133912-36
19Boreham WoodBoreham Wood7133610-46
20Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster713337-46
21Fylde71241319-65
22Dorking WanderersDorking7124714-75
23York City7034815-73
24Southend UnitedSouthend740314862
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