We said: Chesterfield 1-2 Stockport County
Stockport's barren run of defeats cannot go on any longer lest they cede control of the title race to Wrexham, and meeting a Chesterfield side with a host of injury problems could be just the tonic for the league leaders.
The playoff-chasing hosts will put up a good fight nonetheless, but the home crowd at the Proact Stadium have not enjoyed many strong performances on familiar turf of late, and Stockport can take advantage of Chesterfield's injury woes to claim a vital win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.
