Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Bromley win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
