MX23RW : Sunday, February 5 12:39:31
SM
Milan derby: 7 hrs 5 mins
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at The A2B Stadium
Worthing
3 - 2
Tonbridge Angels
Beresford (3'), Kealy (18' pen.), Chambers (24')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Aransibia (12'), Greenidge (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.71%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawTonbridge Angels
56.71% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11) 21.46% (-0.488 -0.49) 21.82% (0.596 0.6)
Both teams to score 59.71% (2.618 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.53% (3.04 3.04)38.46% (-3.043 -3.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24% (3.149 3.15)60.75% (-3.153 -3.15)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (0.977 0.98)13.44% (-0.98 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.57% (1.928 1.93)40.42% (-1.932 -1.93)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (2.268 2.27)31.01% (-2.271 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (2.577 2.58)67.31% (-2.579 -2.58)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 56.71%
    Tonbridge Angels 21.82%
    Draw 21.46%
WorthingDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.605 -0.6)
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.929 -0.93)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.332 0.33)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.205 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.229 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 56.71%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.307 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.631 -0.63)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.213 0.21)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.109 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.248 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.175 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 21.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-2 Slough
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 0-1 Worthing
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-1 Worthing
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Chippenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ebbsfleet28203565303563
2DartfordDartford29183858322657
3Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville27165657372053
4Worthing291410551381352
5Oxford CityOxford City301310750401049
6Chelmsford CityChelmsford City28146836251148
7St Albans CitySt Albans City27136843261745
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne29143125044645
9Braintree TownBraintree2811984136542
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels29125124446-241
11Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead28107113337-437
12Farnborough Town2410682925436
13Bath City2798103737035
14Welling UnitedWelling United269893641-535
15Dover AthleticDover Athletic2988133142-1132
16Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet2694134150-931
17Slough TownSlough2778123552-1729
18Taunton TownTaunton Town217772019128
19Chippenham TownChippenham2467112234-1225
20Hampton & RichmondHampton2667133244-1225
21Cheshunt2774163250-1825
22Concord Rangers2465132442-1823
23Weymouth2663172952-2321
24Hungerford TownHungerford2746172138-1718
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