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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Weymouth
3 - 1
Eastbourne
Bearwish (24'), Touray (39'), Roberts (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Holman (63')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawEastbourne Borough
39.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 34.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.39% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.87% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.031000000000006 0.03)27.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)63.19% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 39.54%
    Eastbourne Borough 34.57%
    Draw 25.89%
WeymouthDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Weymouth
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-3 Maidstone
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-2 Welling United
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Eastbourne
Wednesday, September 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Weston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil14102228161232
2Aveley16102426141232
3Hampton & RichmondHampton168352422227
4Bath City157442721625
5Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd158162622425
6Farnborough TownFarnborough156632719824
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone146621913624
8Taunton TownTaunton Town156632019124
9Worthing147252220223
10DartfordDartford166462520522
11Chelmsford CityChelmsford City155731914522
12St Albans CitySt Albans City157172019122
13Braintree TownBraintree155642215721
14Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.155642020021
15Chippenham TownChippenham155552222020
16Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels165471924-519
17Weymouth164661721-418
18Weston-super-MareWeston165382029-918
19Truro CityTruro City144462120116
20Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne164482229-716
21Slough TownSlough143472126-513
22Welling UnitedWelling United152671324-1112
23Dover AthleticDover Athletic151771629-1310
24Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville1513111634-186
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