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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Welling United |
44.42% ( -1.64) | 26.23% ( 0.58) | 29.35% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.12% ( -1.79) | 52.87% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( -1.55) | 74.49% ( 1.54) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( -1.54) | 23.69% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( -2.26) | 57.81% ( 2.26) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( -0.14) | 32.66% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.79% ( -0.15) | 69.2% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.14)Other @ 1% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.35% |
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