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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Welling United |
46.16% ( 0.11) | 25.66% ( -0.04) | 28.18% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( 0.14) | 51.18% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.12) | 73.03% ( -0.12) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.11) | 22.16% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% ( 0.16) | 55.55% ( -0.16) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( 0.02) | 32.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( 0.02) | 69.2% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 28.19% |
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