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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chippenham Town |
27.51% ( -5.05) | 22.78% ( -1.41) | 49.71% ( 6.45) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( 1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( 3.81) | 38.87% ( -3.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.81% ( 3.9) | 61.18% ( -3.91) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -1.36) | 26.76% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -1.83) | 62.04% ( 1.82) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( 4.04) | 15.88% ( -4.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( 6.95) | 45.1% ( -6.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.87) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( -1.33)2-0 @ 3.69% ( -1.06)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.52)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.55)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.88) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.81)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.96)0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.87)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.51)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.72)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.6)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.42)1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.35)Other @ 3.69% Total : 49.71% |
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