SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Concord Rangers |
56.13% ( -0.71) | 22.84% ( 0.18) | 21.03% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( -0.09) | 45.7% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.08) | 68.02% ( 0.08) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -0.27) | 16.1% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.5% ( -0.5) | 45.5% ( 0.5) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.48) | 35.84% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.38% ( 0.49) | 72.62% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 56.12% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.83% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 94 | 41 | 53 | 91 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 40 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Worthing | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 63 |
| 7 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 71 | 57 | 14 | 62 |
| 9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 62 | 60 | 2 | 62 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 60 |
| 11 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 66 | 61 | 5 | 59 |
| 12 | Bath City | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 58 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 56 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 47 |
| 15 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 39 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 44 |
| 17 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 44 |
| 18 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 43 |
| 19 | Slough TownSlough | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 71 | -24 | 43 |
| 20 | Cheshunt | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 45 | 64 | -19 | 40 |
| 21 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 39 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 56 | 82 | -26 | 39 |
| 22 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Weymouth | 39 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 35 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 31 |
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