SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
43.67% ( 0.72) | 24.78% ( -0.68) | 31.55% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 2.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( 2.99) | 45.81% ( -2.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( 2.78) | 68.13% ( -2.77) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( 1.6) | 21.03% ( -1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.17% ( 2.44) | 53.82% ( -2.44) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 1.46) | 27.56% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.92% ( 1.84) | 63.08% ( -1.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.72)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.3)0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.77)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.65)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 103 | 44 | 59 | 100 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 43 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 79 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 81 | 53 | 28 | 77 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 74 |
| 5 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 49 | 20 | 72 |
| 6 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 70 |
| 7 | Worthing | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 84 | 68 | 16 | 69 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 44 | 21 | 5 | 18 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 68 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 43 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 65 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 63 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 63 |
| 12 | Bath City | 43 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 61 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 44 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 59 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 58 |
| 15 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 55 |
| 16 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 43 | 15 | 8 | 20 | 59 | 66 | -7 | 53 |
| 17 | Slough TownSlough | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 50 |
| 18 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 43 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 49 |
| 19 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 48 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 43 | 13 | 7 | 23 | 60 | 87 | -27 | 46 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 40 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 43 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 52 | 77 | -25 | 39 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 36 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 40 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 77 | -42 | 34 |
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