SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Worthing | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Havant & Waterlooville | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tonbridge Angels | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Braintree Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Dover Athletic | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Farnborough Town | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Dover Athletic |
57.14% ( -0.22) | 22.69% ( 0.48) | 20.17% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( -2.43) | 46.21% ( 2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( -2.34) | 68.5% ( 2.33) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( -0.91) | 15.93% ( 0.91) |
