Ebbsfleet 2-1 Concord Rangers - National League South - January 12, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jan 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet

2 - 1

Concord Rangers

Bingham (13'), Mekki (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wall (1')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Concord Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Concord Rangers
42.38%	25.58%	32.04%

Both teams to score 54.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85%

49.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78%

71.21%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93%

23.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1%

56.89%

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11%

28.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24%

64.76%

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 42.38%

Concord Rangers 32.04%

Draw 25.57%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Concord Rangers
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.38%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.04%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	28	20	3	5	65	30	35	63
2	Dartford Dartford	29	18	3	8	58	32	26	57
3	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	26	16	5	5	57	35	22	53
4	Worthing	28	13	10	5	48	38	10	49
5	Oxford City Oxford City	30	13	10	7	50	40	10	49
6	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	27	14	5	8	35	24	11	47
7	St Albans City St Albans City	27	13	6	8	43	26	17	45
8	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	29	14	3	12	50	44	6	45
9	Braintree Town Braintree	27	11	8	8	40	35	5	41
10	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	29	12	5	12	44	46	-2	41
11	Farnborough Town	23	10	6	7	28	23	5	36
12	Bath City	27	9	8	10	37	37	0	35
13	Welling United Welling United	26	9	8	9	36	41	-5	35
14	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	27	9	7	11	31	36	-5	34
15	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	28	8	8	12	31	39	-8	32
16	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	26	9	4	13	41	50	-9	31
17	Slough Town Slough	27	7	8	12	35	52	-17	29
18	Taunton Town Taunton Town	20	6	7	7	18	19	-1	25
19	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	25	6	7	12	31	42	-11	25
20	Chippenham Town Chippenham	24	6	7	11	22	34	-12	25
21	Cheshunt	26	7	3	16	31	49	-18	24
22	Concord Rangers	24	6	5	13	24	42	-18	23
23	Weymouth	25	5	3	17	27	51	-24	18
24	Hungerford Town Hungerford	26	4	5	17	20	37	-17	17