National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Tamworth
4 - 0
Darlington
Willets (27'), Tshikuna (30'), Milnes (68'), Finn (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Darlington.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result |
| Tamworth | Draw | Darlington |
67.01% ( -0.05) | 19.53% ( 0.02) | 13.45% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( 0.04) |
| 55.72% ( 0.01) | 44.28% ( -0.01) |
| 33.34% ( 0.01) | 66.66% ( -0.01) |
| 87.73% ( -0.01) | 12.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.98% ( -0.02) | 38.02% ( 0.02) |
| 55.77% ( 0.05) | 44.23% ( -0.05) |
