SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Banbury United |
28.21% ( -0.74) | 26.34% ( 0.15) | 45.45% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( -0.98) | 53.88% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( -0.83) | 75.33% ( 0.83) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -1.09) | 34.05% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.26% ( -1.19) | 70.73% ( 1.19) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.15) | 23.64% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.27% ( -0.21) | 57.73% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 90 |
| 2 | Fylde | 44 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 44 | 32 | 89 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 45 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 81 |
| 4 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 68 |
| 5 | Brackley Town | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 68 |
| 6 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Buxton | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 67 |
| 8 | Chorley | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 66 |
| 9 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 66 |
| 10 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
| 11 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 71 | 65 | 6 | 65 |
| 12 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 65 |
| 13 | Darlington | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 71 | 64 | 7 | 64 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 55 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 53 |
| 18 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 71 | -21 | 51 |
| 19 | SouthportSouthport | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Kettering TownKettering | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Blyth Spartans | 45 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 45 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 45 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 43 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 45 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | 72 | -38 | 32 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
