SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
36.72% ( 0.08) | 25.82% ( -0.02) | 37.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( 0.09) | 49.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( 0.08) | 71.43% ( -0.08) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.09) | 26.14% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.78% ( 0.11) | 61.22% ( -0.11) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 0.01) | 25.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.33% ( 0.02) | 60.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 44 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 79 | 42 | 37 | 87 |
| 2 | Fylde | 43 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 86 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 44 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 78 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 68 |
| 5 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 44 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 70 | 65 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 65 |
| 7 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 64 |
| 8 | Darlington | 43 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
| 9 | Buxton | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 64 |
| 10 | Chorley | 44 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 63 |
| 11 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 63 |
| 12 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 61 |
| 13 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 54 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 52 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 43 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 52 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 19 | Kettering TownKettering | 44 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 49 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 44 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 47 |
| 21 | Leamington FCLeamington | 44 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 44 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 42 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 44 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 31 |
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