SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
38.32% ( 0.39) | 23.98% ( -0.06) | 37.7% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.56% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( 0.27) | 40.76% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( 0.28) | 63.15% ( -0.28) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.31) | 21.39% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.62% ( 0.48) | 54.38% ( -0.48) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.05) | 21.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.15% ( -0.07) | 54.85% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.32% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fylde | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 80 | 44 | 36 | 95 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 93 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 84 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 69 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 |
| 6 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 69 |
| 7 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 75 | 68 | 7 | 68 |
| 8 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 74 | 69 | 5 | 68 |
| 9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 | 67 | 1 | 68 |
| 10 | Darlington | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 67 |
| 11 | Buxton | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 67 |
| 12 | Chorley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 66 |
| 13 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 65 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 57 |
| 15 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 68 | 66 | 2 | 56 |
| 16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 55 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 54 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 50 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 50 |
| R | Kettering TownKettering | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 49 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 48 |
| R | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 46 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 32 |
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