SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Leamington FC |
39.59% ( -1.32) | 26.83% ( -0.06) | 33.59% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( 0.54) | 53.91% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( 0.45) | 75.36% ( -0.45) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.47) | 26.65% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.11% ( -0.62) | 61.89% ( 0.62) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( 1.2) | 30.24% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.59% ( 1.41) | 66.41% ( -1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.58% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 44 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 79 | 42 | 37 | 87 |
| 2 | Fylde | 43 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 86 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 44 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 78 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 68 |
| 5 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 44 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 70 | 65 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 65 |
| 7 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 64 |
| 8 | Darlington | 43 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
| 9 | Buxton | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 64 |
| 10 | Chorley | 44 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 63 |
| 11 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 63 |
| 12 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 61 |
| 13 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 54 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 52 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 43 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 52 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 19 | Kettering TownKettering | 44 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 49 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 44 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 47 |
| 21 | Leamington FCLeamington | 44 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 44 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 42 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 44 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 31 |
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