SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Leamington FC |
49.25% ( -0.04) | 25.13% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( -0) | 50.73% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( -0) | 72.63% ( 0) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( -0.02) | 20.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.83% ( -0.03) | 53.16% ( 0.03) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( 0.03) | 34.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.82% ( 0.03) | 71.17% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fylde | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 36 | 30 | 80 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 69 | 39 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 40 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 |
| 5 | Darlington | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Chorley | 40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 39 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 65 | 60 | 5 | 59 |
| 8 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 40 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 63 | 61 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Buxton | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 37 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 54 |
| 11 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 53 |
| 12 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 53 |
| 13 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 52 |
| 14 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 51 |
| 15 | SouthportSouthport | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 50 |
| 16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 40 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 49 |
| 17 | Boston UnitedBoston | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 48 |
| 18 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
| 19 | Kettering TownKettering | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 44 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 43 |
| 21 | Leamington FCLeamington | 40 | 8 | 18 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 42 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 38 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 34 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 40 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
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