SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
67.78% ( -0.05) | 18.72% ( 0.03) | 13.5% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( -0.09) | 40.51% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( -0.09) | 62.89% ( 0.09) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( -0.04) | 10.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.76% ( -0.08) | 35.23% ( 0.08) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( -0.03) | 41.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.75% ( -0.02) | 78.25% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 67.77% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.73% | 0-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fylde | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 80 | 44 | 36 | 95 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 93 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 84 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 69 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 |
| 6 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 69 |
| 7 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 75 | 68 | 7 | 68 |
| 8 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 74 | 69 | 5 | 68 |
| 9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 | 67 | 1 | 68 |
| 10 | Darlington | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 67 |
| 11 | Buxton | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 67 |
| 12 | Chorley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 66 |
| 13 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 65 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 57 |
| 15 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 68 | 66 | 2 | 56 |
| 16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 55 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 54 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 50 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 50 |
| R | Kettering TownKettering | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 49 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 48 |
| R | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 46 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 32 |
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