Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for King's Lynn Town in this match.