MX23RW : Sunday, May 14 19:41:31
SM
Sunday, May 14
National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
Kidderminster
3 - 0
Telford
Byrne (1'), Pearce (50'), Hemmings (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and AFC Telford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Kidderminster
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-4 Gloucester City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawAFC Telford United
63.98% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 21.7% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 14.32% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)51.47% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)73.27% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)15.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.69% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)44.3% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.64% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)82.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 63.96%
    AFC Telford United 14.32%
    Draw 21.7%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawAFC Telford United
1-0 @ 13.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 63.96%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 14.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Kidderminster
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Buxton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-4 Gloucester City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-2 Telford
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 2-3 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFylde46298980443695
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn462712784434193
3Chester FCChester462218672413184
4Brackley Town4618151357471069
5Alfreton TownAlfreton4617181154441069
6Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461912154942769
7Gloucester CityGloucester City461911167568768
8Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath461814147469568
9Spennymoor TownSpennymoor461814146867168
10Darlington461813157264867
11Buxton461813155554167
12Chorley4617151462501266
13Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton461811175855365
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports461512195055-557
15Boston UnitedBoston461511206866256
16Hereford UnitedHereford461510214756-955
17Banbury UnitedBanbury461315185562-754
18SouthportSouthport461311225062-1250
19Blyth Spartans461214204962-1350
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic461214205175-2450
RKettering TownKettering461116194163-2249
RLeamington FCLeamington461018184160-1948
RBradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av461113224365-2246
RAFC Telford UnitedTelford46614263576-4132
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