Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 26.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
