Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
