SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
24.9% ( -1.8) | 24.76% ( -0.59) | 50.33% ( 2.38) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( 1.04) | 49.81% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( 0.92) | 71.81% ( -0.92) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.93) | 34.57% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.71% ( -1.01) | 71.29% ( 1) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 1.42) | 19.8% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.13% ( 2.26) | 51.87% ( -2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.9% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.86% Total : 50.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fylde | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 80 | 44 | 36 | 95 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 93 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 84 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 69 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 |
| 6 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 69 |
| 7 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 75 | 68 | 7 | 68 |
| 8 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 74 | 69 | 5 | 68 |
| 9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 | 67 | 1 | 68 |
| 10 | Darlington | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 67 |
| 11 | Buxton | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 67 |
| 12 | Chorley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 66 |
| 13 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 65 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 57 |
| 15 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 68 | 66 | 2 | 56 |
| 16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 55 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 54 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 50 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 50 |
| 21 | Kettering TownKettering | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 49 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 48 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 46 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 32 |
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