SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Chorley | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 | Buxton | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Chester FC | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Kettering Town | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 20 | Farsley Celtic | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 77.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.14%) and 3-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
77.42% ( -0.64) | 15.23% ( 0.31) | 7.36% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 40.51% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.17) | 42.81% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( -0.17) | 65.21% ( 0.17) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( -0.2) | 9.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.47) | 31.11% ( 0.47) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.6% ( 0.77) | 55.39% ( -0.77) |
