SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | AFC Telford United |
43.71% ( 0.05) | 26.3% ( -0.01) | 29.99% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( 0.02) | 52.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( 0.02) | 74.52% ( -0.02) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.03) | 24.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.67% ( 0.05) | 58.33% ( -0.05) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.02) | 32.21% ( 0.02) |
