SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | AFC Telford United |
53.66% ( 0.11) | 22.72% ( -0) | 23.62% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.73% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( -0.12) | 42.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( -0.12) | 64.59% ( 0.12) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( -0.01) | 15.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.22% ( -0.01) | 44.78% ( 0.01) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( -0.16) | 31.52% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.09% ( -0.19) | 67.91% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 23.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 90 |
| 2 | Fylde | 44 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 44 | 32 | 89 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 45 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 81 |
| 4 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 68 |
| 5 | Brackley Town | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 68 |
| 6 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Buxton | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 67 |
| 8 | Chorley | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 66 |
| 9 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 66 |
| 10 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
| 11 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 71 | 65 | 6 | 65 |
| 12 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 65 |
| 13 | Darlington | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 71 | 64 | 7 | 64 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 55 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 53 |
| 18 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 71 | -21 | 51 |
| 19 | SouthportSouthport | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Kettering TownKettering | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Blyth Spartans | 45 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 45 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 45 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 43 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 45 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | 72 | -38 | 32 |
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