SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Leamington FC |
47.67% ( 0.07) | 28.18% ( -0.02) | 24.14% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.32% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.34% ( 0.02) | 62.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.78% ( 0.02) | 82.21% ( -0.02) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( 0.05) | 26.49% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.32% ( 0.06) | 61.68% ( -0.07) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.04) | 42.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.19% ( -0.04) | 78.8% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.1% Total : 24.14% |
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