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National League North | Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
vs.
Darlington

 
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 4-1 Darlington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Darlington has a probability of 29.39% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Darlington win is 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.98%).

Result
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
42.92% (0.189 0.19) 27.69% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 29.39% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.434 -0.43)58.35% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.341 -0.34)78.96% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.101 -0.1)26.92% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-0.134 -0.13)62.24% (0.133 0.13)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)35.52% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.467 -0.47)72.28% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 42.91%
    Darlington 29.39%
    Draw 27.68%
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Warrington Town
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 2-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 4-1 Darlington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-1 Radcliffe
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Darlington
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-4 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in National League North


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