SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
45.54% ( 0.86) | 23.89% ( -0.19) | 30.57% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.58) | 42.16% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( 0.57) | 64.56% ( -0.57) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( 0.59) | 18.74% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.88% ( 0.98) | 50.12% ( -0.98) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.14) | 26.38% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.19) | 61.53% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.54% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.57% |
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