Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
