Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 2-0 (4.94%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.
