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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Dallas |
50.39% ( -0.07) | 25.37% ( -0) | 24.24% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( 0.08) | 52.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( 0.06) | 74.41% ( -0.07) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 0) | 20.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.28% ( 0) | 53.72% ( -0.01) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.11) | 36.78% ( -0.11) |
