Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.