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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | St Louis City |
67.74% ( 0.02) | 18.06% ( -0.01) | 14.19% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.35% ( 0.05) | 35.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.29% ( 0.05) | 57.71% ( -0.05) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( 0.02) | 9.65% ( -0.02) |
