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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
63.71% ( 0) | 19.54% ( -0) | 16.75% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.6% ( 0.02) | 37.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.38% ( 0.02) | 59.62% ( -0.02) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.86% ( 0.01) | 11.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.4% ( 0.02) | 35.6% ( -0.01) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( 0.02) | 35.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.69% ( 0.02) | 72.31% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 4.46% Total : 63.71% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 39 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | DC United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 15 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Dallas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
| 9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |
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