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Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
IM
Nashville
2 - 1
Inter Miami
Picault (33'), MacNaughton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arroyo (90+3')
Negri (18'), Arroyo (52'), Neville (56')

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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Inter Miami

Both teams head into this match with a lot of confidence due to the unbeaten runs that they have created as of late which should lead to a close contest. Inter Miami have proven recently that they have no problem defeating teams near the top of the table, but their away form could prove to be costly in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawInter Miami
58.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.99% (0.026 0.03) 18.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)50.08% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)72.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)16.74% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)46.65% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)41.35% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)77.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 58.74%
    Inter Miami 18.26%
    Draw 22.99%
Nashville SCDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.74%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 18.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
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Premier League Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati18134130161443
2Nashville SCNashville19105428141435
3New England RevolutionNew England189633122933
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1894530191131
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta197843731629
6Columbus Crew1884636261028
7Orlando City187652522327
8CF MontrealMontreal188192027-725
9DC United196582626023
10Charlotte FCCharlotte FC196582735-823
11Chicago Fire184862428-420
12New York City FCNY City194872025-520
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls184861318-520
14Toronto1931061724-719
15Inter MiamiInter Miami1750121624-815

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1795326161032
2St Louis City1892735231229
3Seattle SoundersSeattle198472418628
4Houston DynamoHouston188372422227
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes197662224-227
6Dallas197572122-126
7Real Salt LakeSalt Lake197572329-626
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver175752721622
9Austin FCAustin186482127-622
10Portland TimbersPortland195682126-521
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas205692329-621
12Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd175571522-720
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy173591629-1314
14Colorado RapidsColorado182791427-1313
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