MX23RW : Wednesday, July 5 11:25:42
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Israel U21s vs. England U21s: 4 hrs 34 mins
IM
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
CC
Inter Miami
2 - 2
Columbus Crew
Campana (57'), Martinez (90')
Taylor (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nagbe (23'), Ramirez (69')
Arfsten (38'), Nagbe (90+2')

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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-1 Columbus Crew

Despite starting favourites to take three points home from Miami, Columbus Crew have won just two from nine on the road so far in 2023 - conceding plenty of goals in the process. So, after a spirited performance helped Inter pick up a point at the weekend, they can defy expectation and repeat that feat on Tuesday.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawColumbus Crew
31.75% (0.592 0.59) 24.78% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 43.47% (-0.677 -0.68)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (-0.15 -0.15)45.74% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-0.144 -0.14)68.05% (0.142 0.14)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.307 0.31)27.39% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (0.396 0.4)62.86% (-0.396 -0.4)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (-0.367 -0.37)21.09% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (-0.575 -0.58)53.92% (0.575 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 31.75%
    Columbus Crew 43.47%
    Draw 24.78%
Inter MiamiDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.112 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.75%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Birmingham Legion 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in US Open Cup
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, June 1 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 4 at 1.09am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Colorado
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
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Premier League Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati20135232211144
2Nashville SCNashville21115530161438
3New England RevolutionNew England20107335251037
4Columbus Crew21105642291335
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia20104634221234
6Orlando City219753223934
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta218853935432
8DC United228593028229
9CF MontrealMontreal2082102028-826
10New York City FCNY City215972226-424
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC206682735-824
12New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls205871820-223
13Chicago Fire205872631-523
14Toronto2231091831-1319
15Inter MiamiInter Miami2052132031-1117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City20112739241535
2Seattle SoundersSeattle219572518732
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles209562923632
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake218672631-530
5Dallas218582323029
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes217772528-328
7Houston DynamoHouston208392426-227
8Austin FCAustin207582528-326
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver196763026425
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas2266102630-424
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd196672125-424
12Portland TimbersPortland215792331-822
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy204792032-1219
14Colorado RapidsColorado2028101429-1514
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