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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 44.85% | 25.62% | 29.53% |
| Both teams to score 53.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
