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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 49.15% | 25.05% | 25.8% |
| Both teams to score 52.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
