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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 55.55% | 23.46% | 21% |
| Both teams to score 51.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
