Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match.
