Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
