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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
37.84% ( 0) | 26% ( 0) | 36.15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0.01) | 50.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( -0) | 72.15% ( 0) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -0) | 25.89% ( 0) |
