SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Amiens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Amiens |
29.65% ( 0.01) | 27.64% ( 0.01) | 42.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.38% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% ( -0.03) | 58.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% ( -0.03) | 78.75% ( 0.02) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( -0.01) | 35.18% ( 0.01) |
