SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Quevilly | Draw | Amiens |
40.27% ( 0.26) | 27.45% ( -0.2) | 32.28% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( 0.74) | 56.6% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( 0.59) | 77.58% ( -0.59) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.5) | 27.54% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.95% ( 0.64) | 63.05% ( -0.64) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( 0.34) | 32.48% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.99% ( 0.38) | 69.01% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Quevilly | Draw | Amiens |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.26% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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